ABSTRACT
This study assessed the ability of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) and Acute Physiology, Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II scoring systems, as well as the Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) II method to predict group mortality in intensive care unit (ICU) patients who were poisoned with organophosphate. The medical records of 149 organophosphate poisoned patients admitted to the ICU from September 2006 to December 2012 were retrospectively examined. The SOFA, APACHE II, and SAPS II were calculated based on initial laboratory data in the Emergency Department, and during the first 24 hr of ICU admission. The probability of death was calculated for each patient based on the SOFA score, APACHE II score, and SAPS II equations. The ability to predict group mortality by the SOFA score, APACHE II score, and SAPS II method was assessed using two by two decision matrices and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. A total of 131 patients (mean age, 61 yr) were enrolled. The sensitivities, specificities, and accuracies were 86.2%, 82.4%, and 83.2% for the SOFA score, respectively; 65.5%, 68.6%, and 67.9% for the APACHE II scoring system, respectively; and 86.2%, 77.5%, and 79.4% for the SAPS II, respectively. The areas under the curve in the ROC curve analysis for the SOFA score, APACHE II scoring system, and SAPS II were 0.896, 0.716, and 0.852, respectively. In conclusion, the SOFA, APACHE II, and SAPS II have different capability to discriminate and estimate early in-hospital mortality of organophosphate poisoned patients. The SOFA score is more useful in predicting mortality, and easier and simpler than the APACHE II and SAPS II.
Subject(s)
Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , APACHE , Emergency Service, Hospital , Hospital Mortality , Intensive Care Units , Organophosphate Poisoning/diagnosis , ROC Curve , Sensitivity and Specificity , Severity of Illness IndexABSTRACT
PURPOSE: Organophosphate poisoning is a worldwide concern and there have been many reports describing the factors affecting the severity and prognosis resulting from its toxicity. This study aims to investigate if C-reactive protein is a useful independent predictor of mortality in organophosphate poisoning patients. METHODS: This retrospective study targeted organophosphate intoxication patients who were admitted to the emergency department of Samsung Changwon Hospital from January 1st, 2006 to December 31st, 2010. The data was retrospectively collected from clinical records and laboratory files, and using multivariate logistic analysis, the total population data was retrospectively analyzed for its association with mortality. RESULTS: A total of 70 patients were enrolled in this study. Of the 70, 53 survived and 17 died. Significant clinical factors such as age, mean arterial pressure, Glasgow coma scale score, respiratory rate, PaO2/FiO2, hematocrit, albumin, glucose and C-reactive protein (measured 24 hours after admission) were associated with mortality. The fatality rate resulting from organophosphate poisoning was 24.3%, and there was an increase observed in the mortality rate of patients with higher C-reactive protein at 24 hours after admission. CONCLUSION: The initial serum C-reactive protein and acetylcholinesterase results had no significant association with the severity of acute organophosphate poisoning. However, C-reactive protein results after 24 hours were significant independent predictors of mortality in the total population of patients afflicted with acute organophosphate poisoning.
Subject(s)
Humans , Acetylcholinesterase , Arterial Pressure , C-Reactive Protein , Emergencies , Glasgow Coma Scale , Glucose , Hematocrit , Organophosphate Poisoning , Prognosis , Respiratory Rate , Retrospective StudiesABSTRACT
PURPOSE: Organophosphate poisoning is a worldwide concern and there have been many reports describing the factors affecting the severity and prognosis resulting from its toxicity. This study aims to investigate if C-reactive protein is a useful independent predictor of mortality in organophosphate poisoning patients. METHODS: This retrospective study targeted organophosphate intoxication patients who were admitted to the emergency department of Samsung Changwon Hospital from January 1st, 2006 to December 31st, 2010. The data was retrospectively collected from clinical records and laboratory files, and using multivariate logistic analysis, the total population data was retrospectively analyzed for its association with mortality. RESULTS: A total of 70 patients were enrolled in this study. Of the 70, 53 survived and 17 died. Significant clinical factors such as age, mean arterial pressure, Glasgow coma scale score, respiratory rate, PaO2/FiO2, hematocrit, albumin, glucose and C-reactive protein (measured 24 hours after admission) were associated with mortality. The fatality rate resulting from organophosphate poisoning was 24.3%, and there was an increase observed in the mortality rate of patients with higher C-reactive protein at 24 hours after admission. CONCLUSION: The initial serum C-reactive protein and acetylcholinesterase results had no significant association with the severity of acute organophosphate poisoning. However, C-reactive protein results after 24 hours were significant independent predictors of mortality in the total population of patients afflicted with acute organophosphate poisoning.